Polymarket Says Flávio Bolsonaro 80%, Brazil Polls Say…
With Brazil’s presidential runoff five days away, prediction markets are assigning Flávio Bolsonaro roughly four chances in five to defeat Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, while polling points to a near tie. The gap is not evidence that one side has sampled voters incorrectly: Polymarket’s price reflects trading in a contract that pays on the
