EUR/USD
EUR/USD is trading in the 1.1800–1.1830 area, maintaining bullish momentum after its recent breakout. From a technical perspective, further upside towards 1.1900–1.1940 is possible if 1.1800 continues to act as support. However, a pullback towards 1.1740–1.1760 remains a risk, particularly if eurozone data disappoints or US indicators come in stronger than expected. Key events for EUR/USD:- today at 13:45 (GMT+3): speech by Bundesbank representative Mauderer;
- today at 15:30 (GMT+3): Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (US);
- today at 19:45 (GMT+3): speech by Bundesbank President Nagel.
GBP/USD
GBP/USD is following a similar trajectory, holding near recent highs within an ongoing uptrend. However, a “harami” pattern identified on the daily chart signals a potential pause in the rally. Confirmation of this pattern could trigger a decline towards 1.3480–1.3500. On the upside, a break above 1.3590 may open the way for gains towards 1.3670–1.3700. Key events for GBP/USD:- today at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP);
- today at 10:55 (GMT+3): UK manufacturing output;
- today at 18:40 (GMT+3): speech by Bank of England Deputy Governor Woods.